Our camp is situated on 200 acres in SW Bracken County, KY. I recently did some figgerin' using the log I keep at camp. See this: Buck Weather The article is centered on what the stats say about the ideal weather conditions under which we encounter bucks. However, in making this compilation, I confirmed my suspicions that, at least on our ridge, we're either going to bag a buck in the first few hours of The Opener, or else it's going to be a long slog. We are situated in an area of extreme hunting activity. I figured one time there was probably 1 hunter per 20 acres on The Opener in a circle that was somewhere around 10 miles wide centered on my stand. Yikes. Based on an estimated density of 45 deer/sq mi, my 200 acres has at most 2 mature bucks on it at any time. They're floating on and off the property constantly, and they may be off in another county within 24 hours of us sighting them. That' makes for a lot of fun, but there aren't enough really big ones out there to dedicate a whole season. Yes, we've had some real monsters on the property. Occasionally one of them takes up residence. Occasionally we get to see them. However, odds are we are not going to get one in our sights. The reason is two-fold: 1) These fellows are past the point of being overly randy during the rut. As a result, they're less likely to make stupid mistakes while chasing doe. 2) If they've picked our property to hole up, it's because they've gotten us patterned better than we've patterned them. I'll never forget a trip out on New Year's Eve a number of years ago. I had been delayed pulling the camo skirts off the treestands, and I took a brief stint of warm weather to go out and get them all down. I was hiking with my Beagle back to my son's stand, when Lily went running ahead. There was our old buddy, The Chandelier, bedded directly beneath my son's ladder stand. The buck and the dog had a hard time figuring what to do. They just stood frozen for a bit. Finally the buck raised up and trotted off about twenty yards and stood behind a cedar and watched us. The Chandelier used to show up in September, hang out until late October and disappear. We'd not see him again until the next year. So how do I answer the OP's question: Look, we can make ourselves miserable trying to chase The Big One. On the other hand, we can enjoy deer camp and do the best we can to keep the doe happy and hope for the best. Playing Ahab, pursuing The Great White Whale, is not a fun proposition. I've been there. I've done it. Another way to look at it is to go back to statistics. In 2013 there were an estimated 821,731 deer statewide, post-season. Let's just round that up to an even million in 2017. If you figure half of what's out there are doe, and half of what remains are bucks less than 6 months old, by the time you get to 5.5 years and older, you're talking about maybe 16,000 monsters statewide or about 1 per 3 square miles. You've got to be feeling might lucky to go against those odds. I will say one other thing. If you are really into big bucks, that last weekend of rifle season and the December ML season is a good time. Our freezers are already full, but like that sighting of the Chandelier, I see a lot of large bucks as the season wanes. If you're afraid of eating tag soup. Be patient. You may still have a chance.