Rut predictions for KY

Discussion in 'Deer Hunting' started by ojibwa62, Oct 17, 2019.

  1. ojibwa62

    ojibwa62 12 pointer

    10,528
    6,287
    Jul 1, 2018
    NOTW
    I'm gonna say it will peak this year around the 11th -15th of Nov..

    Pretty much the same time as last year..




    TRADITIONAL WHITETAIL RUT TIMING
    [​IMG]
    WHITETAIL RUT TIMING STRATEGIES

    The good news is, the timing of the annual whitetail rut will take place in your location at the same time, every single year. Knowing that fact allows you to successfully target specific rutting weeks every single season, while significantly raising your level of hunting skill and success. However, there are a couple of factors that effect the intensity of the rut:

    1) Major Temperature Rut Timing Influence
    While many hunters are waiting for the rut to begin during warm days that occur during the days of traditional timing, savvy hunters recognize that the rut has already begun, and take advantage of the calm, warm and boring periods by making sure to capitalize on change. Does will still enter estrus and be bred, but if temperatures are unseasonably warm you can expect a large portion of breeding activities to take place during the middle of the night. In my experience hunting whitetail since the 80s, poor annual ruts can largely be attributed to unseasonably warm late October and November days. Breeding still takes place at the same time, but keying in on major temperature drops can pay off big time during the traditional timing of the rut, for your area.

    2) Pre Rut Core or Non Core Buck ID Rut Hunting
    A mature buck does not typically have to roam very far away from is favorite Pre Rut daytime hotspot to find a receptive doe. Does the whitetail rut timing seem to be lagging on your land? If you don't have an older buck close to your borders, you can expect the bulk of Pre Rut activities to be taking place somewhere else, within locations that include 1 or more mature bucks. This explains why parcels just 2 miles apart, can be experiencing drastically different levels of Pre Rut activity. By using trail cameras and mature buck sign recognition, you can drop the majority of all the bucks you are observing, in to either the core or non core category. Non core bucks often live a 3/4 of a mile to a mile or more away from you land and typically only enter your land well after dark. However, those bucks often are oblivious to any amount of hunting pressure that you place on your land, so don't be suprised if they show up during the peak of the rut, during daylight, after a major temperature drop.

    PRIORITY OF WHITETAIL RUT TIMING AND PREDICTIONS
    I believe that if hunters accept the fact that the rut takes place at the same time in their location every single year, they can become much better hunters. Instead of spending time scouring the internet for rut predictions and timing patterns that change every single year, try spending your time learning when are the best weather days to hunt, scouting mature buck patterns and formulating an effective treestand rotation strategy. Accepting and knowing when the rut takes place in your location every single season, allows you to focus on the real priorities of hunting activities.

    [​IMG]
    WHEN WILL THE WHITETAIL RUT BEGIN IN YOUR AREA?
    Although the above chart predicts the typical rutting period for your state, make sure to refer to your own seasonal data and experience to most accurately forecast your own rut timing window, in your own area. The tough part of whitetail rut timing equation seems to center on the huge supply of varying online forecasts for the beginning of the rut. However, what is the best advice that I can give you? When you realize that the annual whitetail rut will take place during the same window every year, in your area, then you can learn to hunt the factors that actually influence buck movements. By ignorning the timing, you can just hunt, and when you set your sites on a monster during the same window each season? A high level of success will consistently be below your feet.

    EVEN THOUGH THE RUT TIMING IS THE SAME, NOT EVERY RUT IS CREATED EQUAL...

    [​IMG]
    Ever wonder why the 2012 whitetail rut was much more intense than the 2013 whitetail rut? You need to look no further than this weather comparision from 2012 (above) to 2013 (below). Check out the drastic changes in temperature, winds and barometric pressures in 2012! To help you navigate the whitetail rut timing for 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020 and beyond, make sure to read, "Bowhunting the Phases of the Rut".

    [​IMG]
    Can you remember boring, lacluster and seemingly unispiring ruts of the past? Try taking some time to search the historical weather patterns of those years to look for calm and warm weather patterns. Those weather factors that contribute to a lack of quality hunts, hold the keys to predicting a lifetime of forecasting your own exceptional levels of hunting success.

    *I had an extremely rewarding time using the traditional rut timing window, the 2016 late October temperature drops and core buck hunting strategies, to harvest Diego, one of my favorite bucks of all time!

    CONCLUSION
    Accepting the fact that the rut takes place in the same location every single year, can be pure relief! It also can make you a much better hunter because instead of chasing the tail of every changing online rut forecasts, you can predict your own success while honing your hunting skills in a much more definitive practice of Fall priorities. When will the rut take place in your area each season? I developed the rut timing chart above as a general guide, but by making sure to observe and spend a few seasons scouring your trail cam photos, you should be able to narrow your expected rut window within a margin of incredible accuracy
     
    davers likes this.
  2. shaman

    shaman 10 pointer

    For over close to two decades, I taken my deer to Lenoxburg for processing. Jake used to run the place. I'm not quite sure how long Jake and his family had been at it. One day I was talking to Jake about things and I asked him if he could predict the peak of the rut.

    "About 10 AM on the Rifle Opener," he replied. "'Cuz a buck can't rut when he's up on the pole."

    There's truth there.
     
    ojibwa62 likes this.
  3. PHILIPRILEY16

    PHILIPRILEY16 6 pointer

    468
    113
    Nov 7, 2009
    Yes I say you are correct at least from my part of the woods in Waco. The amount of activity people see depends on buck to doe ratio and the age class of animals in that hunting area, that is why a lot of people don’t see as much activity and they assume the deer are not rutting at that particular time which on my farm for the last 10 plus years as been 11-5 through 11-20 for the bulk of it
     
  4. dabassking

    dabassking 6 pointer

    153
    131
    Sep 16, 2015
    Central KY
    It’ll be the same as every other year. Second week of November with some people seeing full on chasing up to 2 weeks before and after claiming “it’s starting way earlier/late this year!”

    The rut is mostly effected by photoperiod and that doesn’t really change from year to year.
     
    Ataulbe1, Genesis 27:3 and 120+ like this.
  5. WildmanWilson

    WildmanWilson 12 pointer

    10,817
    4,555
    Dec 26, 2004
    Western Ky.
    I predict that starting November 1 you need to be hunting. The rut is pretty predictable but we don’t always see the full effects of it due to weather.
     
    Nock likes this.
  6. Feedman

    Feedman Cyber-Hunter

    13,534
    8,083
    May 28, 2003
    In the basement
    When the government made the change to daylight savings time a few years ago. This has changed rutting behavior. Now you dont set your clocks back to up in November. It gets dark earlier
     
  7. Nock

    Nock 12 pointer

    8,803
    12,076
    Sep 9, 2012
    Butler co
    What WW said.
     
  8. ojibwa62

    ojibwa62 12 pointer

    10,528
    6,287
    Jul 1, 2018
    NOTW
    True for the most part , but I have seen full on chase frenzy in 90 degree temps, when there is a hot doe all bets are off..


    BTW how many actually read what I posted?
     
    Last edited: Oct 17, 2019
  9. shaman

    shaman 10 pointer

    Ah! However, I and my collegues at the Black Hole Institute of Whitetail Behaviours invented the Anti-DST clock.

    [​IMG]

    The Shaman Presents the Anti-DST Clock for Deer

    I came up with the idea when I was KY Pro-Staffer for Deer & Deer Hunting. The idea is to keep the clock on DST during November so the deer don't know the time has changed. We've had great results with the Anti-DST clock, although research on the subject has been on hold for a while. One of our interns got injured trying to insert a basal temperature probe into a large buck.

    Order an Anti-DST clock, and I'll throw in a case of Shamanic Cover Scent Gum.
     
    Feedman likes this.
  10. ojibwa62

    ojibwa62 12 pointer

    10,528
    6,287
    Jul 1, 2018
    NOTW
    Your gonna laugh but in GA in the early season while hunting in muscadines I used to chew grape bubble gum and it actually works as a cover scent, had several deer come in nose in the air trying to find the source of the scent..
     
    Genesis 27:3 likes this.
  11. littlebear

    littlebear 12 pointer

    4,568
    2,923
    Aug 21, 2007
    the woods
    I read it. Rut is almost same time every year. Some years stronger than others. Temp and weather changes affect it. Also Same as years past when you will see hunters posting about rut is on and wide open then others will be saying rut has not started where they are hunting.
     
    ojibwa62 likes this.
  12. shaman

    shaman 10 pointer

    That sounds a bit tastier than fox urine.
     
    ojibwa62 likes this.
  13. WildmanWilson

    WildmanWilson 12 pointer

    10,817
    4,555
    Dec 26, 2004
    Western Ky.
    Yeah a hot doe will make them go crazy but the rut isn’t a mysterious phenomenon. It happens every year regardless of what we see. Come spring fawns will be dropping. Cool weather undoubtedly has them moving better. The only rut chart I need is the calendar. It’s called November. Lol.
     
    Munson, Ataulbe1, Nock and 2 others like this.
  14. bigbonner

    bigbonner 12 pointer

    3,080
    3,958
    Aug 5, 2015

    That is why I am wanting to get my hands on some wild deer's tongue ( vanilla leaf) from down south. The smell should bring in a deer.
     
    ojibwa62 likes this.
  15. ojibwa62

    ojibwa62 12 pointer

    10,528
    6,287
    Jul 1, 2018
    NOTW
    True but that was only part of it.. lots of other info as well..

    I always say if you are not learning something new all the time your probably dead..lol
     

Share This Page