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Wildcat
07-06-2006, 07:53 AM
Hate to say it but back in Aug 2005 I said it would hit $3.00 a gal around July 4th.

People don't care or care to know how to help, they are going to do what they want and then cry about it and blame someone else. Yesterday I was driving down the Interstate going the limit and I had SEVERAL DOZEN SUV's, F-150's, F-250's, Chev- 1500, 2500, mostly 4X4's fly pass me going 70-80 mph. That uses more gas and creats DEMAND.





Crude Oil Prices Hit Record High
Associated Press
July 5, 2006 3:15 p.m.

Oil prices jumped to a record above $75 a barrel on Wednesday, propelled by a rally in gasoline that analysts said could send average U.S. pump prices past $3 a gallon by the weekend.

Recent snags in oil-shipping and refining along the Gulf Coast have raised traders' concerns about motor-fuel supplies at a time when demand continues to rise in spite of soaring prices. The start of a new fiscal quarter also brought more speculative money into the market, brokers said.

"Everybody thought we'd hit a price that would create permanent demand destruction. But demand for gasoline is rising," said Alaron Trading analyst Phil Flynn. "Once again the American public has shown its ability to get over paying high prices for gasoline."

A protracted diplomatic standoff between the West and Iran, OPEC's No. 2 oil supplier, has kept a high floor underneath prices, and analysts said geopolitical tensions were heightened further on Wednesday by North Korea's test-firing of missiles.

Light sweet crude for August delivery briefly surged to $75.40 a barrel, a record intraday high on the New York Mercantile Exchange, before easing back to $75.19, an increase of $1.26. Gasoline futures jumped by more than six cents to $2.284 a gallon.

With refiners fetching the equivalent of $95 a barrel or more -- there are 42 gallons in a barrel -- "one doesn't have to be disciplined in the buying of crude," explained Tom Kloza, an oil analyst at Oil Price Information Service in Wall, N.J.

The last time front-month oil futures settled above $75 was on April 21. The previous intraday high, also set April 21, was $75.35.

Oil prices are now roughly 26% higher than a year ago, but still below all-time inflation-adjusted highs of around $90.

The average retail price of gasoline is $2.93 a gallon, according to OPIS. But Mr. Kloza said pump prices are likely to surpass $3 a gallon as early as this weekend.

U.S. retail gasoline prices peaked at $3.07 a gallon, on average, last September, reflecting the extreme tightness in the market following Hurricane Katrina, which knocked out pipelines that deliver fuel to the East Coast and Midwest.

With global oil demand approaching 85 million barrels per day, traders are extremely nervous about the possibility of any supply disruptions, especially because there is less than 2 million barrels a day of spare production capacity, most of it in Saudi Arabia.

North Korea defied stern warnings from the U.S. and Japan to launch six missiles early Wednesday, including a long-range Taepodong-2, which failed shortly after takeoff. Later Wednesday, the communist nation fired a seventh missile.

While the news was unlikely to have any impact on supply, it adds to uncertainties about the global political situation, analysts and traders said. Markets already have been jittery about Iran's nuclear program and violence in Nigeria and the Middle East.

Iran postponed by a day its talks with the European Union on a package of incentives designed to defuse the standoff over Tehran's atomic program, the EU said Wednesday.

In London, Brent crude futures rose 55 cents to $73.06 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.

"This market has got some fireworks," said BNP Paribas Commodity Futures broker Thomas Bentz.

"The market just always seems to react to any political unrest," Bentz said.

Bentz said reduced rates Monday at a gasoline producing unit of an Exxon Mobil Corp. refinery were not a big deal supply wise, but nevertheless had a psychological impact on the market.

"The bulls just seem to have plenty of fodder to sustain ever higher prices," Fimat USA oil analyst John Kilduff said. Kilduff said a severe disruption in oil supplies from a hurricane or some other event could send oil racing toward $90 a barrel. On the other hand, if the diplomatic standoff between Iran and the West were to be resolved, that could take oil prices sharply lower.

The Department of Energy is scheduled to release its weekly petroleum report Thursday, a day later than usual due to the Independence Day holiday. With demand about 1% above year ago levels for the past month, analysts expect to see commercial inventories of gasoline decline for the second straight week.

Art
07-06-2006, 08:19 AM
Gas was $3 dollars a gallon last August.:D Just wait until a hurricane brews up here in a month or so. I predict $4 a gallon around Labor day weekend. I don't really blame anyone but myself anymore. I could buy a car that gets 50 mpg. Nobody is making me buy the amount of fuel I do, that's what I have chosen and it's totally my fault.

BTW, I am selling my not-so-fuel efficient truck for a more practical, fuel efficient truck. If anyone is interested in a nice 3/4 ton diesel, shoot me a PM!:D

jarhedhntr
07-06-2006, 08:36 AM
Don't worry guys it is all my fault.:D

Wildcat
07-06-2006, 08:43 AM
Funny thing is on Hy 68 from Paducah to Kentucky Lake I counted 8 full size pick-ups parked in the front yards with for sale signs on them.

Here's a link to another AP story dated a day later.

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/O/OIL_PRICES?SITE=KREM&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT

Art,
Yes it was $3.00 a gal last Aug but remember I said it would come down after Labor day and go back to $3.00 July 4.

PhilpotHunter
07-06-2006, 08:45 AM
Just keep doing what is comfortable for you, and they will keep doing there best to make it uncomfortable for you.

Art
07-06-2006, 08:46 AM
Funny thing is on Hy 68 from Paducah to Kentucky Lake I counted 8 full size pick-ups parked in the front yards with for sale signs on them.

Here's a link to another AP story dated a day later.

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/O/OIL_PRICES?SITE=KREM&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT

What's really funny is that auto makers keep putting in bigger, less fuel efficient engines in each year. I think that's one reason Toyota is stomping everyone right now. They seem to be trying to take their vehicles engines in the other direction and people are responding.

john4
07-06-2006, 10:09 AM
We are at WAR and the biggest complaint most Americans have is "that gas is over $3 pre gallon". I guess that is to be expected when it's the same less than 1% of America that is fighting and sacraficing for this war. With no rationing of fuel, rubber, food, steel, aluminum. Not to mention not having to pay for the war. I guess it should be of no surprise that the #1 issue for most Americans is the high cost of fuel.

Art
07-06-2006, 10:51 AM
Art,
Yes it was $3.00 a gal last Aug but remember I said it would come down after Labor day and go back to $3.00 July 4.

I'm sure you got not arguement from me. I'm actually surprised it's only $3 to be honest, especially with Iran and N. Korea acting like idiots. I really don't see it ever going back down to levels that most of us find acceptable. Just wait until a hurricane takes aim at the Gulf of Mexico.

I personally think it will take a sustained period with prices over $4 or $5 to actually start to cripple the country. That time IS coming but $3 isn't doing anything to change most people habits unfortunately.

raktrakr
07-06-2006, 07:19 PM
The problem is not us paying $3.00 a gal.. It's the dumbass paying $75 barrel!

95bravo
07-06-2006, 11:21 PM
That time IS coming but $3 isn't doing anything to change most people habits unfortunately.
The time came for me. I gave up 3 bucks an hour, and 20 year retirement for a closer job. Gas was just to high.

PhilpotHunter
07-07-2006, 09:04 AM
The time came for me. I gave up 3 bucks an hour, and 20 year retirement for a closer job. Gas was just to high.

Yeah, but ask anyone on here and they will tell you it isn't really affecting people:rolleyes:

Art
07-07-2006, 09:12 AM
Yeah, but ask anyone on here and they will tell you it isn't really affecting people:rolleyes:

It's affecting lots of people (myself included), but when you look at the country as a whole our consumption is still on the rise. For the most part if you look at new vehicles and spending figures and the stock market then you can see that gas prices have yet to really have a major effect, if any. When consumption fall drastically then we'll know we've hit the wall.

I personally would like to see the bubble bust. That will mean that gas will have to become too expensive for a much larger percentage of people and businesses. Once that happens then we will see some MAJOR changes. All I'm saying is that obviously $3.25 a gallon is not high enough to make the majority change.

quackrstackr
07-07-2006, 09:40 AM
It's starting to have a big impact on new car sales.

Truck and SUV sales are tanking and small/midsize cars are on the rise. The truck market has seemed pretty much oblivious until lately, SUVs have been declining since the price hike last year.

I read the percentages yesterday in the company mailer but I've forgotten now what they were.

Companies are buying up the current model year large diesel trucks before the new EPA regs. kick in for '07, artificially inflating that market. Next year, that market will tank as well for a couple of years.

corndogggy
07-07-2006, 11:27 AM
1. Slow down.

2. Ride your bike more.

3. Consolidate rides.


A huge dent would be put in this problem if people would just follow these three easy steps. :rolleyes: